Federal Reserve System seal beside glowing data panels reading GDP 1.5 percent, core PCE 3.3 percent and 30-year Treasury yield 5.24 percent, with a steepening yield curve chart

Q2 GDP Slowed to 1.5%, but Private Demand Jumped 3.9%: Why the Bond Market Isn’t Buying the Cooldown

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday that real GDP grew at a 1.5% annual rate in the second quarter, down from 2.1% in the first,…

By Scott Allan · Jul 30 · 4 min read

An OpenAI sign on a concrete lobby wall with an oak bench, a fig tree and a blurred passer-by near the windows

AI Policy

Eight States Sued OpenAI Over ChatGPT’s Harm to Children. Iowa Also Wants Its Advanced Model Testing Stopped.

Iowa's 91-page petition against OpenAI asks a judge to halt its advanced AI model testing until third-party monitors…

9h ago

Policy

After Japan Agreed to Pay for Two New York Chip Fabs, Washington Took Another 4% of GlobalFoundries

Japan pays up to $21 billion for two GlobalFoundries-run fabs in New York. Washington adds no cash, collects…

10h ago

Markets

Stocks, indices, and the macro tape

Analysis

UnitedHealth Beat Estimates by 55 Cents and Raised Its 2026 Outlook. A $610 Million Reserve Release Did Much of the Work.

UnitedHealth earned $4.69 a share against a $4.14 estimate and lifted its 2026 floor…

By Scott Allan · 2d ago

Close-up illustration of two DDR5 server memory modules on a green circuit board, one with Samsung-branded chips and one with SK hynix-branded chips.

Markets

South Korea’s KOSPI Fell 5.5% as Samsung and SK Hynix Sold Off on a Chinese Rival’s Memory Roadmap

The KOSPI closed down 5.46% at 6,035.35 as Samsung fell 7.39% and SK Hynix…

By Scott Allan · 2d ago

A green diesel pump nozzle, a glass sample bottle of amber diesel fuel and a one-page typed document with a fountain pen on a white studio backdrop

Energy

180 Days of Russian Diesel Imports Are Now Legal Under the Treasury License Behind Trump’s Putin Deal

Trump announced 300,000 tons of Russian diesel. Treasury's General License 135 names no tonnage…

By Scott Allan · 3d ago

Markets

Will Broadcom Guarantee the $50 Billion It Is Raising So OpenAI Can Buy Its Chips?

Broadcom is arranging $50 billion-plus of debt so OpenAI can buy its chips, the…

By Scott Allan · 6d ago

Artificial Intelligence

The race to build — and regulate — intelligent machines

$300 Million in AI Savings Is How C.H. Robinson Plans to Pay for Its $5.8 Billion RXO Deal

C.H. Robinson's $300 million savings target for RXO is nearly three times RXO's 2025 adjusted EBITDA, about $32,500 for each of its 9,218 workers.

By Scott Allan · Oct 7

Technology

Product, platform, and the shape of the Internet

Illustration of emptied glass-door chiller cabinets in a supermarket, a worker pushing crates of discarded food, and a wall-mounted Danfoss refrigeration controller with a red alarm light.

Business

Hackers Defrosted Freezers at Hundreds of French Supermarkets, and the Manufacturer Had Logged Earlier Hacks of the Same Controller

Hackers heated freezers at hundreds of French supermarkets to 50C. A Danfoss bulletin from…

By Scott Allan · 2d ago

Jobs & Labour

The Labor Department Froze Green Card Filings at Microsoft and Seven Other Employers

Vance's claim that Microsoft replaced each laid-off worker with 1.5 foreign workers counts H-1B…

By Scott Allan · 6d ago

M&A

SpaceX’s Airwaves Purchase Knocked 6% Off AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile, Not Off Their Tower Landlords

SpaceX is buying the 800 MHz band T-Mobile sold to Grain Management in August…

By Scott Allan · 6d ago

Markets

Micron’s Taiwan Union Voted 99% to Authorize a Strike. Samsung and SK Hynix Already Gave Ground.

Micron's Taoyuan union voted 99% to authorize a strike. Its 15% profit-share ask is…

By Scott Allan · Oct 8

Data center aisle with Seagate and Western Digital drive trays in the foreground and a Toshiba tray with a pallet of boxed drives in the centre

Markets

Toshiba’s $380 Million Hard Drive Plan Knocked 14.6% Off Seagate

Toshiba plans about $380 million to double hard drive capacity. Seagate and Western Digital…

By Scott Allan · Oct 5

Markets

$32 Billion in Customer Deposits Sits Behind the Micron Capex Plan That Spooked Investors

Micron beat on every line, then dipped on $25 billion of capex. Customers have…

By Scott Allan · Oct 1

Business

Deals, earnings, and corporate strategy

Analysis

PepsiCo Cut Its 2026 Profit Forecast, a Downgrade Made Despite a Tariff-Refund Boost

PepsiCo beat Q3 estimates and cut its 2026 profit outlook. Tariff refunds supplied four points of profit growth while North America snack profit fell 13%.

By Scott Allan · Oct 8

Live Now

Streaming markets and news, on air 24/7.

Charts

Our Bitcoin Live Chart Gets Major Upgrade: Learn How To Read the Indicators

The Tape

Every major index, currency, commodity, and the 20 biggest cryptos — all on one page.

Open the Tape →

Opinion & Analysis

Arguments, essays, and deep dives

Scott Allan Opinion

Robert Hall and Michael Woodford Win the Nobel in Economics, an Award for the Models Central Banks Use to Set Rates

Robert Hall and Michael Woodford won the 2026 Nobel in economics. The committee's explainer says Woodford's model can call for rate hikes in an energy shock.

Scott Allan Opinion

Schneider Electric Shed €15 Billion in Market Value Agreeing to Buy PTC for $22.6 Billion

Scott Allan Opinion

Anthropic’s Leaked Prospectus Shows a $42 Billion Loss Behind Its $2 Trillion IPO Ask

Crypto

Digital assets, tokenization, and the on-chain economy

Crypto

Trump’s $1.4 Billion Crypto Disclosure Reveals the Business Model Behind His Deregulation Agenda

President Trump earned at least $1.4 billion from crypto ventures in 2025, his first year back in office, while simultaneously dismantling the…

Jul 1

01
Crypto Bitcoin ETFs Post Worst Month on Record With $4.5 Billion in June Outflows as Institutional Investors Retreat
Jul 1
02
Crypto Saylor Blinks: Strategy Sells Bitcoin for the First Time Since 2022 as BTC Cracks $68,000
Jun 2
03
Analysis Bitcoin Drops Below $73K as Stocks Hit Records: Why Crypto Is Diverging
May 29

Policy

Regulation, geopolitics, and capital in Washington

The logos of ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC and Fox News arranged beneath the seal of the US Department of Justice on a dark navy data dashboard

Legal

After Five TV Networks Paused White House Pool Coverage, the Justice Department Sent Them Antitrust Demands

The Justice Department sent antitrust demands to ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC and Fox News. It sued three of them in 1972, and…

3d ago

01
Healthcare Technology Nearly Half of America’s In-Licensed Drugs Now Start in China, a Dependency Treasury Just Decided Not to Break
Sep 21
02
Economy The Fed Hiked to 4% on a Dot Plot With 18 Dots, Not 19
Sep 18
03
Legal & Regulatory Canada’s C$27.6 Billion Retaliation Is Pegged to a 1930 Statute No Court Has Ever Tested
Sep 8

Cloud & Infrastructure

Data centers, chips, and the plumbing of AI

Cloud & Infrastructure

BlackRock and IFM Near a $25 Billion Deal for Stack’s Asia-Pacific Data Centers

A BlackRock-backed consortium is in exclusive talks for Stack's Asia-Pacific data centers at up…

By Scott Allan · Sep 25

Macro photograph of a Cornelis Networks switch chassis with a dense row of fibre optic transceiver ports lit teal and amber, cables running out of frame

To Break Nvidia’s Grip on AI Networking, Cornelis Raised $205 Million on a Figure It Modeled Itself

Cornelis raised $205 million to attack Nvidia's interconnect lock-in. The $1.68 billion waste figure…

By Scott Allan · Sep 16

Cloudflare’s New Crawler Rules Grade Microsoft on a Control That Ships in 2027

Cloudflare's Accountable designation decides which AI crawlers keep reading your site. Microsoft holds it…

By Scott Allan · Sep 16

Close up of a copper transformer winding and switchgear busbar with a brushed steel nameplate reading Fluidstack

The Pentagon Wants to Lend $5 Billion to an AI Cloud Startup. None of It Would Build a Data Center.

The Office of Strategic Capital would make its largest ever loan to Fluidstack, funding…

By Scott Allan · Sep 14

Microsoft Plans to Triple Its Data Center Fleet by 2032, and the Number Came From Nobody at Microsoft

Microsoft's reported 38 gigawatt capacity target has been written up as an announcement. The…

By Scott Allan · Sep 11

Analysis

Oracle’s $638 Billion Backlog Is a Funding Structure, Not a Sales Pipeline

Oracle reports first-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Thursday, and nearly every preview written this…

By Scott Allan · Sep 8

Economy

Inflation, employment, and the real economy

A brass balance scale with a stack of dollar bills outweighed by bread, eggs and a tomato, beside a plain pay envelope

Economy

Payrolls Missed by Roughly 60,000 in September, but the Real Damage Is in Wages

Employers added 29,000 jobs in September, but wages grew 3% against inflation near 3.4% while the Fed is still hiking. Why the…

Oct 5

01
Economy The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hit 5.34%, Its Highest Since 2002, and Mortgages Are Already Over 7%
Oct 2
02
Economy The Treasury Sold $70 Billion of Five-Year Notes at 5.033%. Primary Dealers Were Left Holding $11 Billion of Them.
Sep 24
03
Economy Everyone Reported Mortgage Rates Approaching 7%. The Daily Trackers Already Have Them Above It.
Sep 23

The Latest

Everything else across the newsroom

A glass sample bottle of dark crude oil next to a worn gasoline pump nozzle on a white studio backdrop, with a drop of oil on the paper

Energy

After the White House Asked for Iran Strike Options Before the Midterms, Brent Jumped Past $104

Oct 8

Markets

Cboe’s Exclusive S&P 500 Options License, Extended to 2051, Carries a Royalty Reset Nobody Has Priced

Oct 2

Healthcare Technology

Kodiak’s Zenkuda Matched Eylea in Phase 3, a Win Against the Dose Regeneron Is Already Leaving Behind

Sep 29

AMD Is Buying World Labs for $8.2 Billion in Stock, Not Cash

Sep 29

A blank White House-style press credential on a navy lanyard beside three white cards carrying the CNN, Politico and MS NOW logos on a white studio backdrop

Business

A 14-Day Order Put CNN, MS NOW and Politico Back Inside the White House

Sep 25

Meta Rose 36% in September on Its Muse AI App. Can Muse Ever Cover $145 Billion in Capex?

Sep 25

Markets

IonQ’s Quantum Error Decoder Ran on Simulated Noise, Not on Its Own Qubits

Sep 24

When Microsoft Cut Copilot Prices by up to 50%, It Attached a Usage Meter to the Deal

Sep 24

Studio still life of printed cards showing the Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery logos behind a clipped stack of legal documents

Business

Paramount Settled 12 States for Film Quotas and $47.5 Million, a Fraction of the $49 Billion It Must Now Borrow

Sep 23

Meta Added Nearly $200 Billion on Download Counts the Week Amazon Blocked Muse and a Researcher Hijacked It

Sep 23

Trading display showing a falling WTI and Brent crude chart, the Federal Reserve seal, a Saudi Aramco panel and a rising interest rate bar chart

Economy

Oil Fell 9% in Four Days Because Trump Said He Would Probably Take a Meeting Nobody Has Scheduled

Sep 22

Risograph style poster showing SoftBank, OpenAI and Arm logos on stacked bars representing a capital structure

Business

The $20 Billion Book for SoftBank’s Bond Is a Bet on Yield, Not on OpenAI

Sep 22

Q2 GDP Slowed to 1.5%, but Private Demand Jumped 3.9%: Why the Bond Market Isn’t Buying the Cooldown

Eight States Sued OpenAI Over ChatGPT’s Harm to Children. Iowa Also Wants Its Advanced Model Testing Stopped.

After Japan Agreed to Pay for Two New York Chip Fabs, Washington Took Another 4% of GlobalFoundries

UnitedHealth Beat Estimates by 55 Cents and Raised Its 2026 Outlook. A $610 Million Reserve Release Did Much of the Work.

South Korea’s KOSPI Fell 5.5% as Samsung and SK Hynix Sold Off on a Chinese Rival’s Memory Roadmap

180 Days of Russian Diesel Imports Are Now Legal Under the Treasury License Behind Trump’s Putin Deal

Will Broadcom Guarantee the $50 Billion It Is Raising So OpenAI Can Buy Its Chips?

$300 Million in AI Savings Is How C.H. Robinson Plans to Pay for Its $5.8 Billion RXO Deal

How Much of Google’s 3.6-Gigawatt Constellation Energy Deal Is New Power for the PJM Grid?

Anthropic Disclosed Up to $84.5 Billion in SpaceX Compute Deals. Most Can Be Ended on 90 Days’ Notice.

Why Did Synopsys Jump 4.8% on Amazon and OpenAI Deals With One Disclosed Number?

Hackers Defrosted Freezers at Hundreds of French Supermarkets, and the Manufacturer Had Logged Earlier Hacks of the Same Controller

The Labor Department Froze Green Card Filings at Microsoft and Seven Other Employers

SpaceX’s Airwaves Purchase Knocked 6% Off AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile, Not Off Their Tower Landlords

Micron’s Taiwan Union Voted 99% to Authorize a Strike. Samsung and SK Hynix Already Gave Ground.

Toshiba’s $380 Million Hard Drive Plan Knocked 14.6% Off Seagate

$32 Billion in Customer Deposits Sits Behind the Micron Capex Plan That Spooked Investors

PepsiCo Cut Its 2026 Profit Forecast, a Downgrade Made Despite a Tariff-Refund Boost

Constellation Brands Beat on a Distributor Restock, and Drinkers Bought Less Modelo

After a Record 141 Deals of $100 Million or More, Accenture Stock Closed Up 16%

The FTC Opened a Probe Into OpenAI, Anthropic and METR. Anthropic’s Prospectus Saw It Coming.

Charts

The Tape

Robert Hall and Michael Woodford Win the Nobel in Economics, an Award for the Models Central Banks Use to Set Rates

Schneider Electric Shed €15 Billion in Market Value Agreeing to Buy PTC for $22.6 Billion

Anthropic’s Leaked Prospectus Shows a $42 Billion Loss Behind Its $2 Trillion IPO Ask

Trump’s $1.4 Billion Crypto Disclosure Reveals the Business Model Behind His Deregulation Agenda

After Five TV Networks Paused White House Pool Coverage, the Justice Department Sent Them Antitrust Demands

BlackRock and IFM Near a $25 Billion Deal for Stack’s Asia-Pacific Data Centers

To Break Nvidia’s Grip on AI Networking, Cornelis Raised $205 Million on a Figure It Modeled Itself

Cloudflare’s New Crawler Rules Grade Microsoft on a Control That Ships in 2027

The Pentagon Wants to Lend $5 Billion to an AI Cloud Startup. None of It Would Build a Data Center.

Microsoft Plans to Triple Its Data Center Fleet by 2032, and the Number Came From Nobody at Microsoft

Oracle’s $638 Billion Backlog Is a Funding Structure, Not a Sales Pipeline

Payrolls Missed by Roughly 60,000 in September, but the Real Damage Is in Wages

After the White House Asked for Iran Strike Options Before the Midterms, Brent Jumped Past $104

Cboe’s Exclusive S&P 500 Options License, Extended to 2051, Carries a Royalty Reset Nobody Has Priced

Kodiak’s Zenkuda Matched Eylea in Phase 3, a Win Against the Dose Regeneron Is Already Leaving Behind

AMD Is Buying World Labs for $8.2 Billion in Stock, Not Cash

A 14-Day Order Put CNN, MS NOW and Politico Back Inside the White House

Meta Rose 36% in September on Its Muse AI App. Can Muse Ever Cover $145 Billion in Capex?

IonQ’s Quantum Error Decoder Ran on Simulated Noise, Not on Its Own Qubits

When Microsoft Cut Copilot Prices by up to 50%, It Attached a Usage Meter to the Deal

Paramount Settled 12 States for Film Quotas and $47.5 Million, a Fraction of the $49 Billion It Must Now Borrow

Meta Added Nearly $200 Billion on Download Counts the Week Amazon Blocked Muse and a Researcher Hijacked It

Oil Fell 9% in Four Days Because Trump Said He Would Probably Take a Meeting Nobody Has Scheduled

The $20 Billion Book for SoftBank’s Bond Is a Bet on Yield, Not on OpenAI